Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 3.052848 3.604869 4.254457 5.082304 6.119338 7.388917 9.081726e+00
2024-11-03 2.392851 3.121882 4.096517 5.527556 7.632941 10.714332 1.576103e+01
2024-11-10 2.001303 2.774935 3.894925 5.698581 8.661279 13.596279 2.307727e+01
2024-11-17 1.768477 2.574198 3.818467 5.983478 9.896986 17.228222 3.365017e+01
2024-11-24 1.534010 2.315820 3.583919 5.927666 10.503299 19.958881 4.420768e+01
2024-12-01 1.373502 2.141705 3.443850 5.987436 11.326411 23.466296 5.922441e+01
2024-12-08 1.240574 1.989272 3.308074 6.014141 12.081960 27.178836 7.818244e+01
2024-12-15 1.162664 1.917951 3.301737 6.290652 13.482549 33.246356 1.115828e+02
2024-12-22 1.051429 1.770371 3.125883 6.167206 13.886806 36.813960 1.404624e+02
2024-12-29 0.970911 1.668398 3.021703 6.177426 14.642055 41.944971 1.849101e+02
2025-01-05 0.891872 1.559128 2.885703 6.083500 15.086395 46.367784 2.346554e+02
2025-01-12 0.847545 1.511594 2.870059 6.276537 16.446051 55.215547 3.357254e+02
2025-01-19 0.768926 1.396143 2.712704 6.135191 16.925814 61.899535 4.549598e+02
2025-01-26 0.744748 1.390649 2.802604 6.691566 20.105923 85.264536 8.987576e+02
2025-02-02 0.701303 1.337718 2.772973 6.908992 22.245439 107.031540 1.593993e+03
2025-02-09 0.670317 1.306909 2.789675 7.271157 25.240772 140.299647 3.272596e+03
2025-02-16 0.621268 1.229361 2.677278 7.200123 26.368746 163.202151 5.568091e+03
2025-02-23 0.584494 1.175030 2.614774 7.276199 28.284628 198.322619 1.120340e+04
2025-03-02 0.549858 1.121379 2.545160 7.310205 30.068562 238.539861 2.419908e+04
2025-03-09 0.530542 1.101462 2.562668 7.662825 33.926995 318.780179 8.818022e+04
2025-03-16 0.495044 1.038414 2.451100 7.505285 34.737106 363.223022 2.268783e+05
2025-03-23 0.468569 0.994682 2.387697 7.518320 36.697612 438.479261 1.057483e+06
2025-03-30 0.440466 0.943996 2.296912 7.398566 37.736661 505.838431 6.869827e+06